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Real-Time 2020 Administrative Record Census Simulation
Real-Time 2020 Administrative Record Census Simulation
This experiment combined 31 types of administrative record and third-party sources to produce 2020 population estimates with the same reference date, April 1, 2020, and within the same timeframe as the 2020 Census of Population and Housing. The sources and methodology are designed to improve coverage of historically undercounted population groups.
The administrative census national population estimates are 1.1 and 2.5 percent higher than the 2020 Demographic Analysis high and low estimates, respectively, 2.3 percent higher than the 2020 Census count, and 2.9 percent higher than the vintage-2020 Population Estimates Program estimate. Our analysis suggests that the higher administrative record census estimate can be explained by inclusion of more non-U.S. citizens, especially those with unknown legal status.
The report identifies several improvements critical to developing the Census Bureau’s administrative record infrastructure to facilitate higher-quality administrative record-based population estimates, especially regarding locational accuracy.
Related Reports
2020 PES Final Housing Unit Matching Operational Assessment
This assessment documents what happened during the FHU Matching operation, identified lessons learned, and produced valuable data for the 2030 PES plan.
2020 Census Evaluation: Matching 2018 Census Barriers, Attitudes, and Motivators Study (CBAMS) Survey Sample to 2020 Census Report
This evaluation uses CBAMS and the 2020 Census to evaluate the relationship between intended response behaviors and actual response behaviors.
2020 Census Evaluation: Investigating Digital Advertising and Online Self-Response
This evaluation evaluates the role of digital advertising in directing respondents to complete the census online.
2020 Census Operational Assessment Report: Update Leave
This assessment report provides results and analysis for the 2020 Census Update Leave (UL) operation.
2020 Census Evaluation: Group Quarters Advance Contact
This evaluation assesses the performance of the student housing screening question used in GQAC and identifies potential changes to the screening definition.
2020 Census Operational Assessment Report: Geographic Programs
This assessment report documents the Geographic Programs (GEOP), one of the 35 operations that made up the 2020 Census.
2020 Census Topic Report: Potential Quality Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic
This topic report highlights the most significant changes made to 2020 Census operations in response to the COVID-19 pandemic.
2020 Census Operational Assessment Report: Post-Enumeration Survey Person Interview
This assessment report determines where each person should have been counted on Census Day at sample housing units.
2020 Census Operational Assessment Report: Post-Enumeration Survey Person Matching
This assessment report determines if the people rostered in the PI should be included in the P-sample and if they were enumerated.
2020 Census Operational Assessment Report: The 2020 New Construction Program
This assessment documents the results of the 2020 New Construction Program and recommendations to assist in implementing address update partnership programs.
Page Last Revised - May 5, 2023
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