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2023 Population Projections for the Nation by Age, Sex, Race, Hispanic Origin and Nativity

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2023 Population Projections for the Nation by Age, Sex, Race, Hispanic Origin and Nativity

These projections provide a comprehensive analysis of the nation’s projected population through 2100. The analysis covers projected births, deaths and net international migration in addition to population size and composition by age, sex, race, Hispanic origin and nativity. The 2023 projections include a main series as well as three alternative scenarios based on distinct assumptions about international migration.

News Release

web U.S. Population Projected to Begin Declining in Second Half of Century
web Se proyecta que la población de EE. UU. comience a disminuir en la segunda mitad del siglo

Data Visualization

web Population Projections by Age, Sex, Nativity and Hispanic Origin

Tables

pdf Methodology statement

Summary Tables

xls Projected Population and Components of Change (NP2023-T1)
xls Projected Population by Age Group and Sex (NP2023-T2)
xls Projected Population by Five-Year Age Group and Sex (NP2023-T3)
xls Projected Population by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin (NP2023-T4)
xls Projected Population Distribution by Race and Hispanic Origin (NP2023-T5)
xls Projected Population Distribution by Race, Hispanic Origin, and Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T6)
xls Projected Change in Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Intervals (NP2023-T7)
xls Projected Population by Nativity (NP2023-T8)
xls Projected Native-Born Population for Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T9)
xls Projected Foreign-Born Population for Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T10)
xls Projected Population by Race, Hispanic Origin, and Nativity (NP2023-T11)
xls Projected Births, Deaths, and Net International Migration (NP2023-T12)
xls Projected Rates of Change in Population, Births, Deaths, and Net International Migration (NP2023-T13)

Zero Immigration Scenario

xls Projected Population and Components of Change (NP2023-T1-Z)
xls Projected Population by Age Group and Sex (NP2023-T2-Z)
xls Projected Population by Five-Year Age Group and Sex (NP2023-T3-Z)
xls Projected Population by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin (NP2023-T4-Z)
xls Projected Population Distribution by Race and Hispanic Origin (NP2023-T5-Z)
xls Projected Population Distribution by Race, Hispanic Origin, and Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T6-Z)
xls Projected Change in Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Intervals (NP2023-T7-Z)
xls Projected Population by Nativity (NP2023-T8-Z)
xls Projected Native-Born Population for Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T9-Z)
xls Projected Foreign-Born Population for Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T10-Z)
xls Projected Population by Race, Hispanic Origin, and Nativity (NP2023-T11-Z)
xls Projected Births, Deaths, and Net International Migration (NP2023-T12-Z)
xls Projected Rates of Change in Population, Births, Deaths, and Net International Migration (NP2023-T13-Z)

Low Immigration Scenario

xls Projected Population and Components of Change (NP2023-T1-L)
xls Projected Population by Age Group and Sex (NP2023-T2-L)
xls Projected Population by Five-Year Age Group and Sex (NP2023-T3-L)
xls Projected Population by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin (NP2023-T4-L)
xls Projected Population Distribution by Race and Hispanic Origin (NP2023-T5-L)
xls Projected Population Distribution by Race, Hispanic Origin, and Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T6-L)
xls Projected Change in Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Intervals (NP2023-T7-L)
xls Projected Population by Nativity (NP2023-T8-L)
xls Projected Native-Born Population for Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T9-L)
xls Projected Foreign-Born Population for Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T10-L)
xls Projected Population by Race, Hispanic Origin, and Nativity (NP2023-T11-L)
xls Projected Births, Deaths, and Net International Migration (NP2023-T12-L)
xls Projected Rates of Change in Population, Births, Deaths, and Net International Migration (NP2023-T13-L)

High Immigration Scenario

xls Projected Population and Components of Change (NP2023-T1-H)
xls Projected Population by Age Group and Sex (NP2023-T2-H)
xls Projected Population by Five-Year Age Group and Sex (NP2023-T3-H)
xls Projected Population by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin (NP2023-T4-H)
xls Projected Population Distribution by Race and Hispanic Origin (NP2023-T5-H)
xls Projected Population Distribution by Race, Hispanic Origin, and Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T6-H)
xls Projected Change in Race and Hispanic Origin by Selected Intervals (NP2023-T7-H)
xls Projected Population by Nativity (NP2023-T8-H)
xls Projected Native-Born Population for Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T9-H)
xls Projected Foreign-Born Population for Selected Age Groups (NP2023-T10-H)
xls Projected Population by Race, Hispanic Origin, and Nativity (NP2023-T11-H)
xls Projected Births, Deaths, and Net International Migration (NP2023-T12-H)
xls Projected Rates of Change in Population, Births, Deaths, and Net International Migration (NP2023-T13-H)

Comparison Tables

xls Projected Population Size and Annual Total Population Change (NP2023-A)
xls Projected Components of Population Change (NP2023-B)
xls Projected Population by Race and Hispanic Origin (NP2023-C)
xls Projected Population by Age Group (NP2023-D)

Downloadable CSV Files

xls Projected Age-Specific Fertility Rates for Women Aged 14 to 54 Years by Nativity, Hispanic Origin, and Race for the United States: 2023 to 2100 (NP2023_A1)
pdf File Layout
xls Projected Mortality Rates by Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: 2023 to 2100 (NP2023_A2)
pdf File Layout
xls Projected Life Expectancy at Birth by Nativity, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: 2023 to 2100 (NP2023_A3)
pdf File Layout
xls Projected Survival Ratios by Nativity, Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: 2023 to 2100 (NP2023_A4)
pdf File layout
xls Projected Total Fertility Rates by Nativity, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: 2023 to 2100 (NP2023_A5)
pdf File Layout

Projected Population by Single Year of Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: 2022 to 2100 (NP2023_D1)

pdf File layout
xls Main Series
xls High Immigration Scenario
xls Low Immigration Scenario
xls Zero Immigration Scenario

Projected Births by Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: 2023 to 2100 (NP2023_D2)

pdf File layout
xls Main Series
xls High Immigration Scenario
xls Low Immigration Scenario
xls Zero Immigration Scenario

Projected Deaths by Single Year of Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: 2023 to 2100 (NP2023_D3)

pdf File layout
xls Main Series
xls High Immigration Scenario
xls Low Immigration Scenario
xls Zero Immigration Scenario

Projected Net International Migration by Single Year of Age, Sex, Race, and Hispanic Origin for the United States: 2023 to 2100 (NP2023_D4)

pdf File layout
xls Main Series
xls High Immigration Scenario
xls Low Immigration Scenario
xls Zero Immigration Scenario

Projected Population by Single Year of Age, Sex, Race, Hispanic Origin and Nativity for the United States: 2022 to 2100 (NP2023_D5)

pdf File layout
xls Main Series
xls High Immigration Scenario
xls Low Immigration Scenario
xls Zero Immigration Scenario

News

Press Release
U.S. Population Projected to Begin Declining in Second Half of Century
November 09, 2023
The U.S. population is projected to reach a high of nearly 370 million in 2080 before edging downward to 366 million in 2100.
Se proyecta que la población de EE. UU. comience a disminuir en la segunda mitad del siglo
November 09, 2023
Se proyecta que la población de los EE. UU. llegue a casi 370 millones en el 2080, antes de reducirse a 366 millones en el 2100.
Press Release
CONFIRMED DATE: Embargo of New Population Projections for the Nation
October 18, 2023
The U.S. Census Bureau will offer a two-day embargo period to allow media members access to the 2023 National Population Projections.
Press Release
La Oficina del Censo lanza nuevas proyecciones de población
October 18, 2023
La Oficina del Censo de EE. UU. ofrecerá un período de dos días para que los miembros de los medios accedan a las Proyecciones de población para 2023.

America Counts

web World Population Estimated at 8 Billion

Background

web News release: Older People Projected to Outnumber Children (09/06/18)
web Population Projections site

Outside Contacts

Page Last Revised - November 13, 2023
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