Title	Author(s)	Geography	Data Required	Method
Session I. Part A. International Perspectives on Population Estimates
1. Post 2000 Census in France	Michel Isnard Jean Dumais	Municipality	Surveys, censuses, and administrative records (mainly occupancy tax and social security), building register	Continuous measurement of estimates
2. Population Estimates for Small Areas in the UK: Performance and Promise	Stephen Simpson	50,000-500,000 population	Births, deaths,medical register as proxy for migration, administrative records (for student and armed forces population)	Cohort components, student and armed forces estimated with administrative records
		1,000-3,000 population	As above, plus housing change, electoral change, local censuses	Various methods by local governments, no national coverage
		Postcode (15 households each)	As above plus national register of addresses (addresspoint)	Data mining and building
3. Estimating a Population Total Using a Ranked Set Sample	Arun K. Sinha Ravi R. Sinha	Urban Places	Selected population parameters	Ranked set sampling
4. Future Population Estimates in Destable Populations	Subrata Lahiri	Applicable on any level	Age-specific growth rates	Ten-year life table survival ratios
Session I. Part B. The Construction of Building Block Estimates
5. Population and Housing Estimates for Census Blocks: The San Diego Experience	Jeff Tayman	Census block	Utility hook-ups, assessors parcel file	Housing unit
6. Use of Property Tax Records and Household Composition Matrices to Improve the Household Units Method for Small Area Population Estimates	Warren Brown	Census block group	Property tax records, housing units, point data, post-censal persons per household, age of person in household, and age of householder	Household unit
7. Design Alternatives for Building Block Estimates	Ron Prevost	Tract, Census block	IRS tax returns, HCFA Medicare enrollees, SSA Numident, HUD Tract Rental Assistance Certification System, Indian Health Services, and Selective Service files	Database mining and building
Session II. Subnational Estimates for the United States
1. Spatially Arrayed Growth Forces and Small Area Population Estimates Methodology	Roger B. Hammer Paul R. Voss Robin M. Blakely Alice E. Magen Daniel Veroff	Minor civil division, census tract, block group	Point and line, total population	Spatially arrayed growth forces and small area population estimates
2. Development of a National Accounting of Address and Housing Inventory: A Baseline Information for Post-censal Population Estimates	Ching-Li Wang	Housing unit, Census Bureau estimates geography (state, county, MCD place)	Building and demolition permits and conversions by address, updates on vacancy, pph, units in structure (single/multiple) from ACS, housing unit, point data from TIGER	Data mining and building
3. A Discussion and Examination of Techniques to Estimate Total Population and Population by Age for 400 Jurisdictions in Florida	William O'Dell Marc Smith June Nogle	Subcounty area	Households by tenure, size, and income; Age-specific headship rates, household population by age and income, housing prices and rents, place and county population counts, estimates and projections by age groups	Affordable housing needs assessment
4. Using the Master Address File (MAF) to Estimate Population for Small Areas	Patty Becker	Subcounty Area	MAF, MAF improvement operations, variables in MAF	MAF analysis
5. A Local Alternative to National Demographic Data Vendor Population and Household Estimates - Applying a Modified Housing Unit Approach to Individual Households	John McHenry	Sub-Public Use Microdata Area (Sub-PUMA)	Tax assesors and utility connection database, housing unit type, number of bedrooms	Modified housing unit
6. Applying Data from the American Community Survey (ACS) and Master Address File (MAF) to the Intercensal Population Estimates Program	Gregg J. Diffendal Stella U. Ogunwole Amy Symens Smith	Country	ACS/MAF, and age-sex-race-ethnicity estimates	Cohort component
		Subcounty areas	Updated housing units, households, pph, vacancy from ACS/MAF	Housing unit, sampling theory
Session III. FSCPE Methods - The State Perspective
1. Domestic Migration Estimation in Sub-County Areas	Zongli Tang	Subcounty	Migration based on IRS tax returns, 5 year migration from 1990 census, school enrollment (elementary, high school, college), Medicaire enrollees	Census administration
2. Colorado Methods of Population Estimates	Richard Lin presented by: Jim Westkott	State	Births, deaths, net migration	Component method
		County	Births, deaths, school enrollment, residuals, group quarters, net migration, employment statistics (ES202), annual change in U.S. Census Bureau estimates, local review challenges to estimates	Regression residual, component method, ratio
		Subcounty	Building permits, group quarters, CPS for change in pph and vancancy rate	Housing unit
		CTF special district (park and recreation disctrict)	Building permits, group quarters, CPS for change in pph and vancancy rate	Housing unit
3. Review of Administration Records and Ratio-Correlation Methods for Producing Post-2000 County Population Estimates in Illinois	Mohammed Shahidullah Mark Flotow	County	Births, deaths, immigration from abroad, nongroup quarters net migration, institutional and military barracks populations, Medicare enrollees	Administrative Records (ADREC)
		County	Births, school enrollment, automobile registration, federal income tax exemptions	Ratio- correlation regression model
4. Testing Population Estimation Models in Virginia	Donna Tolson	County, independent city	State tax returns and exemptions, births, deaths, school enrollment, driver's licenses, housing stock (including mobile/manufactured homes, building and demolition permits), Medicare, group quarters	Component Method II, Housing Unit, Census Ratio, and Ratio-Correlation
5. Using Water Demand to Determine Population Estimates and Projections for Kansas	Darrell Eklund Tina Rajala Ann Durkes	County, city, rural water district	Census counts from 1980 and 1990, 1992 and 1994 Census Bureau population estimates, residential water connections, interviews with local officials, information from Kansas public water suppliers about changes in water use and demand for water in local communities and rural areas	Linear Regression
6. Overview of California's County Population Estimating Methods	Melanie Martindale	County	Driver license address changes, tax return data, Medicare enrollment, and immigration	Evaluation of Driver's License Address Change (DLAC)
Session IV. Methods Used in the Evaluation of Estimates
1. The Measurement of Migration Coverage Bias	J. Gregory Willaims	State, county	IRS Migration data, Alaska Permanent Fund	Mathematical Evaluation
2. Assessment of IRS Tax Returns Migration Coverage in New Mexico	Adelamar Alcantara	County	Building permits, manufactured and mobile homes, occupancy by type of structure	Mathematical Evaluation
3. Evaluation of Texas Population and Estimates and Projections Program's Population Estimates and Projections for 1990	Nazrul Hoque Steve Murdock	County	Births, deaths, elementary school enrollment, vehicle registration, voter registration	Mathematical Evaluation of Ratio-Correlation Regression
		County	Births, deaths, elementary school enrollment	Mathematical Evaluation of Component Method II
		Subcounty	Housing stock, building and demolition permits	Mathematical Evaluation of Housing Unit Method
4. An Evaluation of the Accuracy of U.S. Bureau of the Census County Population Estimates	Dean Judson Carole Popoff Michael Batutis	County	Administrative records, economic and demographic data	Mathematical Evaulation
5. Evaluating the Housing Unit Method: A Case Study of 1990 Population Estimates in Florida	Stanley Smith Scott Cody	County and subcounty area	Building permits, electricity connections	Housing units

Page Last Revised - October 8, 2021

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