The Business Dynamics Statistics of Single Unit Firms with Revenue (BDS-SU-REV) is an experimental data product extending the set of statistics published by the Business Dynamics Statistics (BDS) program. The BDS-SU-REV provides year-over-year changes in employment, payroll, and revenue for each quarter of the year for businesses that operate in one location (single-units) and file their taxes under a single Employer Identification Number (EIN). This product relies on IRS annual tax filings to collect revenue information and IRS quarterly tax filings to collect employment and payroll information for the pay periods including March 12th, June 12th, September 12th, and December 12th. Year-over-year employment and payroll changes are calculated between the same point in year t and year t-1 (i.e., June 12th year t-1 to June 12th year t, etc.). Employment and payroll growth is labeled as job and pay creation respectively and employment and payroll decline as job and pay destruction.
A novel innovation in the BDS-SU-REV is the incorporation of annual revenue data for single-establishment firms that consistently maintain positive employment levels each quarter. A positive annual growth in revenue is categorized as revenue creation, while negative growth is categorized as revenue destruction.
The BDS-SU-REV data reveals that the COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on the net real revenue creation rate for single-unit firms. In Figure 1, we observe that in 2019 the average net real revenue creation rate was 8%. However, this rate plummeted to less than 2% in 2020. To construct real revenue measures, we use the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) GDP implicit price deflator, with a base year of 2017.
Source: BDS-SU-REV public tables (2022) from the U.S. Census Bureau Project 7508369: CBDRB-FY24-0446.
Net real revenue creation rate = revenue real creation rate – revenue real destruction rate, where the revenue creation rate is the sum of all gains from revenue-expanding firms from year t-1 to year t including startups. The revenue destruction rate is the sum of all losses from revenue-contracting firms from year t-1 to year t including deaths. Real revenue is adjusted for inflation using the (BEA) GDP implicit price deflator using 2017 as the base year.
The drop in the net revenue creation rate in 2020, shown in Figure 1, was caused by a significant rise in the revenue destruction rate, as shown in Figure 2. However, the revenue destruction rate for firms that exited by the fourth quarter of each year remained relatively constant over time. Most of the real revenue destruction was attributable to firms that remained active, especially in 2020.
Source: BDS-SU-REV public tables (2022) from the U.S. Census Bureau Project 7508369: CBDRB-FY24-0446.
Figure 3 illustrates the net revenue creation rate by state for 2019 and 2020. In 2019, California, New York, and Texas had net revenue creation rates above 5%, reaching 11%, 17%, and 6%, respectively. However, by 2020, these states experienced negative net revenue creation rates of -3%, -18%, and -1%.
Source: BDS-SU-REV public tables (2022) from the U.S. Census Bureau Project 7508369: CBDRB-FY24-0446.
In terms of revenue levels for single-unit firms, Figure 4 shows that real revenue has been on a steady rise from around 10 trillion in 2018-Q4 to 11.3 trillion in 2022-Q4, except in the pandemic year 2020, when it decreased from the 2019 level.
Source: BDS-SU-REV public tables (2022) from the U.S. Census Bureau Project 7508369: CBDRB-FY24-0446.
Sectors negatively impacted by the pandemic due to reduced revenue include Manufacturing; Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation; Lodging and Food Services; and Other Services as seen in Figure 5. This last category encompasses various businesses, such as auto repair, beauty salons, and personal care services, which tend to rely on in-person interactions.
Source: BDS-SU-REV public tables (2022) from the U.S. Census Bureau Project 7508369: CBDRB-FY24-0446.
The BDS-SU-REV provides quarterly statistics from 2007 Q1 to 2022 Q4. There are 50 tables, each expressed in nominal and real terms. Tables are stratified by year, quarter, and firm characteristics and contain the following information:
Tables are stratified by the following characteristics or some combination thereof, with 14 one-way tables, 26 two-way tables, and 8 three-way tables. In addition, there is an economy-wide table stratified only by year and quarter:
Unlike the main BDS, which measures firm age in years, the BDS-SU-REV measures firm age in quarters. These quarterly single-unit data have numerous advantages. First, because these businesses operate in a single place, the firm, as defined by ownership, is equivalent to the establishment, as defined by location. This simplifies the reporting of business characteristics since age and size are the same for the firm as for the establishment. Second, because the quarterly data allow us to identify the first and last quarters a business had employees, we can date business entry and exit more precisely during the year. Third, the quarterly data also capture large temporary disruptions to the economy that happen in a single year, such as the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic recession or a natural disaster, which would be missed in the traditional BDS annual March-over-March job change estimates. Finally, the quarterly data include payroll, allowing us to calculate payroll creation and destruction in an analogous manner to employment.
While the quarterly employment time series begins in 2007, quarterly payroll data exist back to 1976, allowing us to measure firm age over the same time span as the main BDS. We identify the first quarter a firm had payroll between 1976 Q1 and 2022 Q4 and then measure firm age as the number of calendar quarters between the first and current quarter. In comparison, the main BDS identifies the first year a firm had employment in the pay period that includes March 12th and then calculates firm age as the number of calendar years between the first and current year. If a firm began in the 2nd, 3rd, or 4th quarters of the year, its birth will not be recognized by the main BDS until the following year in March. This annual measurement aggregates births over all the quarters of the prior year and reports them at the end of the 1st quarter each year. The quarterly measurement of the BDS-SU-REV disaggregates these births across the four quarters of the year. The same is true for firm exits.
Another innovation of the BDS-SU-REV product is the addition of payroll and revenue measures that mirror the employment measures. These new measures include total payroll, total revenue, payroll creation (year-over-year increase), revenue creation, payroll destruction (year-over-year decrease), revenue destruction, net payroll creation (total creation minus total destruction), net revenue creation, and the portion of payroll and revenue creation attributed to new businesses ('births') and the portion of payroll and revenue destruction attributed to business closures ('deaths').
Note that while the payroll and employment variables are measured at the quarterly level, revenue is only measured annually. However, all revenue measures are presented at the quarterly level, reflecting the annual revenue generated by businesses active in that quarter. For more information, please refer to the BDS-SU-REV definition.
Finally, we publish the ratio of payroll to employment and revenue to employment for all single-unit firms, and separately for continuing, entering, and exiting firms. Comparing this ratio for different groups of firms provides information about how average pay per worker and revenue per worker (labor productivity) varies across industries and geography.
NEW: The 2022 BDS-Single Unit Firms covering the years 2007 to 2022 is now available! The 2022 release includes applicable changes and improvements reflected in the 2022 BDS Release.
Questions? Contact us at ces.bds@census.gov.