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On August 31, the Census Bureau launched a nationwide prize competition under Section 105 of the America COMPETES Reauthorization Act of 2011, Public Law 111-358 (2011). The contest – dubbed the Census Return Rate Challenge – encourages teams and individuals to compete for prize money for predicting 2010 Census mail return rates. The contest ends on November 1st.
The challenge is to create a statistical model that accurately predicts 2010 Census mail return rates for small geographic areas (census block groups). Nationwide, 79.3% of households that received a 2010 Census mail form completed it and mailed it back. However, the level of mail return varied greatly by geography. The Census Return Rate Challenge asks participants to model these variations using predictive variables found in the updated 2010 Census Planning Database.
The 2010 Census Planning Database is a block-group level database that assembles a range of geographic, housing, demographic, and census operational data extracted from the 2010 Census and 2006-2010 American Community Surveys. Participants are provided a sample of the database upon which to build their models.
Contest details, rules, and eligibility guidelines are available at //www.kaggle.com/c/us-census-challenge.
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