Official websites use .gov
A .gov website belongs to an official government organization in the United States.
Secure .gov websites use HTTPS
A lock (
) or https:// means you’ve safely connected to the .gov website. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites.
Topics
Data & Maps
Surveys & Programs
Resource Library
Center for Economic Studies (CES) Working Paper Series
Center for Economic Studies (CES) Working Paper Series
This series features research in economics and other social sciences, by Census Bureau and FSRDC researchers, using restricted-use Census Bureau microdata.
Working Paper
Revisions to the LEHD Establishment Imputation Procedure and Applications to Administrative Jobs Frame
We review modifications to the U2W imputation method for use with the jobs frame, evaluating four approaches for accuracy, size matching, and separation rates.
Working Paper
Internal Migration in the U.S. During the COVID-19 Pandemic
We link administrative (USPS, IRS, and SSA) and survey (ACS and CPS-ASEC) records and examine U.S. domestic migration trends during the COVID-19 pandemic.
Working Paper
Aggregation Bias in the Measurement of U.S. Global Value Chains
We calculate the imported content of U.S. manufacturing plants' exports and assess the extent of aggregation bias inherent in industry-level estimates.
Working Paper
Estimating the Potential Impact of Combined Race and Ethnicity Reporting on Long-Term Earnings Statistics
We study how LEHD long-term earnings differentials vary by race and ethnicity for persons from heavily Hispanic, Middle East, or North Africa source countries.
Working Paper
Who Scars the Easiest? College Quality and the Effects of Graduating into a Recession
Using data from the National Survey of College Graduates, we study how the effects of graduating into worse economic conditions vary over college quality.
Working Paper
Empirical Distribution of the Plant-Level Components of Energy and Carbon Intensity at the Six-digit NAICS Level Using a Modified KAYA Identity
This research shows wide variation in three components of carbon dioxide emissions and investigates the plant-level variation underlying those emissions.
Working Paper
Foreign Direct Investment, Geography, and Welfare
We study the welfare effects of FDI on Ethiopian consumers and how these effects are geographically distributed throughout the country.
Working Paper
Socially Responsible Investment and Gender Equality in the United States Census
We study the relation between socially responsible investing and the employee gender pay gap, as well as the role of female directors.
Working Paper
Supply Chain Adjustments to Tariff Shocks: Evidence from Firm Trade Linkages in the 2018-2019 U.S. Trade War
We use the 2018-2019 U.S.-China trade war episode to examine how firms’ supply chain adjustments to a tariff cost shock impact imports and exports.
Working Paper
Driving the Gig Economy
We explore the effects of the introduction of online ridesharing platforms on entry, employment and earnings in the Taxi and Limousine Services industry.
Working Paper
Employer Dominance and Worker Earnings in Finance
This paper reveals a stronger positive employer size-pay relationship in finance than in other sectors due to firms' economic gains and in-demand worker skills.
Working Paper
Competition, Firm Innovation, and Growth under Imperfect Technology Spillovers
We study how firms use different innovations under imperfect technology spillovers and impact the effect of competition.
Working Paper
Household Wealth and Entrepreneurial Career Choices: Evidence from Climate Disasters
Flood shocks cut the likelihood of working for startups by 7%, leading to long-term income loss and highlighting the role of self-insurance for career risks.
Working Paper
Changing Opportunity: Sociological Mechanisms Underlying Growing Class Gaps and Shrinking Race Gaps in Economic Mobility
New research shows the earnings gap between 27-year-old White adults born to low- and high-income parents widened while the low-income Black-White gap narrowed.
Working Paper
Expanding the Frontier of Economic Statistics Using Big Data: A Case Study of Regional Employment
Our study shows combined payroll and survey data can refine economic measures, improving state estimates and providing timely, accurate county-level statistics.
Working Paper
Contrasting the Local and National Demographic Incidence of Local Labor Demand Shocks
We examine how spatial frictions that differ among heterogeneous workers and firms shape the geographic and demographic incidence of local labor demand shocks.
Working Paper
Payroll Tax Incidence: Evidence from Unemployment Insurance
State unemployment insurance tax increases resulted in significant reductions in employment growth driven by lower hiring, but minimal pass-through to earnings.
Working Paper
The Impact of Parental Resources on Human Capital Investment and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from the Great Recession
Using restricted-access data, I find that declines to parents’ home values during the Great Recession decreased children’s college attainment and earnings.
Working Paper
Urban-Biased Growth: A Macroeconomic Analysis
IT adoption by large business services firms can account for most of the increase in US regional wage inequality since 1980.
Working Paper
Measuring Income of the Aged in Household Surveys: Evidence from Linked Administrative Records
We examine how retirement income underreporting in the CPS ASEC and HRS affects key statistics such as reliance on Social Security benefits and poverty rates.
Working Paper
Citizenship Question Effects on Household Survey Response
Analysis of the 2019 Census Test linked to administrative data suggests that adding a citizenship question would increase noncitizen undercounts.
Working Paper
Who Marries Whom? The Role of Segregation by Race and Class
Why do people marry within their race and class? This study examines if residential segregation limits marriage across race and class lines in the US.
Working Paper
Whose Neighborhood Now? Gentrification and Community Life in Low-Income Urban Neighborhoods
I look at the social and political impact of gentrification within urban communities across the U.S. and find it is stratified across income and racial groups.
Working Paper
How Big is Small? The Economic Effects of Access to Small Business Subsidies
We study the small firm growth effects of SBA industry size standards that determine eligibility for small business subsidies.
Working Paper
Gradient Boosting to Address Statistical Problems Arising from Non-Linkage of U.S. Census Bureau Datasets
This article is a tutorial for using twangRDC to generate nonresponse weights to account for non-linkage of person records across U.S. Census Bureau datasets.
Working Paper
Revisiting Methods to Assign Responses when Race and Hispanic Origin Reporting are Discrepant Across Administrative Records and Third Party Sources
This paper discusses changes to the business rules for assigning ethnicity to the pre-decennial Best Race and Ethnicity administrative records composite file.
Working Paper
School Equalization in the Shadow of Jim Crow: Causes and Consequences of Resource Disparity in Mississippi circa 1940
Black schools in Mississippi remained underfunded following a finance equalization effort in 1920 at the expense of students’ long-term economic outcomes.
Working Paper
U.S. Worker Mobility Across Establishments within Firms: Scope, Prevalence, and Effects on Worker Earnings
This paper describes workers' opportunities to switch establishments within multi-establishment firms and assesses their impact on worker earnings growth.
Working Paper
Mobility, Opportunity, and Volatility Statistics (MOVS): Infrastructure Files and Public Use Data
We introduce the Mobility, Opportunity, and Volatility Statistics (MOVS) project, new public use data on income growth and household dynamics.
Working Paper
Does Rapid Transit and Light Rail Infrastructure Improve Labor Market Outcomes?
I analyze the effects of proximity to Los Angeles’s recent public transit expansions on local employment outcomes.
Working Paper
Interpreting Cohort Profiles of Lifecycle Earnings Volatility
We present new estimates of earnings volatility over time and the lifecycle for men and women by race and human capital using SSA earnings linked to CPS.
Working Paper
After the Storm: How Emergency Liquidity Helps Small Businesses Following Natural Disasters
We show that SBA disaster loans to firms reduce distress, increase growth, and crowd-in private credit, which seems to reflect resolving repair uncertainty.
Working Paper
The Impact of Immigration on Firms and Workers: Insights from the H-1B Lottery
We study how random variation in the availability of skilled, foreign-born workers—generated by the 2007 H-1B visa lottery—impacts firms and workers.
Working Paper
Where Are Your Parents? Exploring Potential Bias in Administrative Records on Children
This paper examines potential bias in the Census Household Composition Key's (CHCK) probabilistic parent-child linkages.
Working Paper
Grassroots Design Meets Grassroots Innovation: Rural Design Orientation and Firm Performance
Evidence of faster employment growth by firms applying a structured approach to design shows its the key role as an input to innovation.
Working Paper
Tracking Firm Use of AI in Real Time: A Snapshot from the Business Trends and Outlook Survey
We provide new evidence on recent and expected future use of AI by U.S. businesses based on timely data from the Business Trends and Outlook Survey.
Page Last Revised - September 28, 2023
✕
Is this page helpful?
Yes
No
Yes
No✕
NO THANKS
255 characters maximum
255 characters maximum reached
255 characters maximum reached
✕
Thank you for your feedback.
Comments or suggestions?
Comments or suggestions?
