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Firm Dynamics, Persistent Effects of Entry Conditions, and Business Cycles

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Firm Dynamics, Persistent Effects of Entry Conditions, and Business Cycles

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Working Paper Number CES-17-29

Abstract

Firm Dynamics, Persistent Effects of Entry Conditions, and Business Cycles
Download Firm Dynamics, Persistent Effects of Entry Conditions, and Business Cycles [PDF - <1.0 MB]

This paper examines how the state of the economy when businesses begin operations affects their size and performance over the lifecycle. Using micro-level data that covers the entire universe of businesses operating in the U.S. since the late 1970s, I provide new evidence that businesses born in downturns start on a smaller scale and remain smaller over their entire lifecycle. In fact, I find no evidence that these differences attenuate even long after entry. Using new data on the productivity and composition of startup businesses, I show that this persistence is related to selection at entry and demand-side channels.

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Page Last Revised - October 8, 2021
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