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Impact of Methodological Changes on Estimates of Childlessness from the 2012 and 2014 Current Population Survey (CPS) Fertility Supplements

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Impact of Methodological Changes on Estimates of Childlessness from the 2012 and 2014 Current Population Survey (CPS) Fertility Supplements

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Working Paper Number SEHSD-WP2015-04

Introduction

Impact of Methodological Changes on Estimates of Childlessness from the 2012 and 2014 Current Population Survey (CPS) Fertility Supplements
Download Impact of Methodological Changes on Estimates of Childlessness from the 2012 and 2014 Current Population Survey (CPS) Fertility Supplements [PDF - <1.0 MB]

The June 2012 Current Population Survey (CPS) Fertility Supplement data showed a significant decrease from 2010 in the percent of childless women aged 35 to 44.  However, due to numerous changes in data and data processing, it is reasonable to think that some of the apparent changes shown in the data may be artifacts of changes in measurement, not an indication of an actual demographic shift.  In this paper, I explore the changes in childlessness seen in CPS fertility supplement data, focusing particularly on changes between 2008 and 2014, in order to discern to what extent recent methodological changes affected our reported rates of childlessness.

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