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Evaluating the Use of the New Current Population Survey's Annual Social and Economic Supplement Questions in the Census Bureau Tax Model
Evaluating the Use of the New Current Population Survey's Annual Social and Economic Supplement Questions in the Census Bureau Tax Model
Abstract
It appears that the main factor in all of the differences between the old and new tax model is driven by the potential use of the two parent pointers. The decreases in mean taxable income and mean federal tax after credits caused by the use of the new MOOP variables are cancelled out by the increases caused by the two parent pointers. The use of new MOOP variables and the remaining two changes (childcare and mortgage) involved replacing imputed data to conceptually consistent data from the CPS ASEC. There will need to be further research into the best way to implement these changes, because of their impact on the tax model and a need to benchmark these changes against administrative data. We plan to perform this additional research before implementing these changes in the CPS ASEC tax model.
Related Information
WORKING PAPER
Supplemental Poverty Measure Working Papers
Page Last Revised - October 8, 2021
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