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The U.S. Census Bureau's Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) program produces state and county income and poverty estimates using decennial census data, household survey data, administrative records and population estimates. The IRS has provided the Census Bureau new data on earned income tax credit (EITC) participation. Incorporation and evaluation of this new data in the SAIPE program models could lead to improvements in small area estimates. The EITC is a uniformly administered and widely advertised program. Regional variation in participation rates might be lower than other programs that have been utilized in the SAIPE program models. Due to the wide coverage of the EITC, a particular goal of this research is improving modeling performance for counties with weak participation in other programs, thus reducing errors under the current model.
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