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Evaluation of School District Poverty Estimates: Predictive Models using IRS Income Tax Data

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Introduction

The U.S. Census Bureau, with support from other Federal agencies, created the Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates (SAIPE) program to provide more current estimates of selected income and poverty statistics than are available from the most recent decennial census. Estimates are created for states, counties, and school districts. The main objective of this program is to provide updated estimates of income and poverty statistics for the administration of federal programs and the allocation of federal funds to local jurisdictions. In addition to these federal programs, there are hundreds of state and local programs that depend on income and poverty estimates for distributing funds and managing programs (U.S. Census Bureau, 2005). In this paper we will be focusing on estimating the number of poor school-age children (between the ages of 5 and 17) for every school district.

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Page Last Revised - October 8, 2021
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